According to the Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Forecast 2012-2017 report, which was released today in New Delhi by Mr. Robert Pepper, Vice-President, Global Technology Policy of Cisco, India will witness the highest growth in internet protocol (IP)-based traffic between 2012 and 2017. This is expected to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44 per cent, which is the highest growth rate across the globe.
The global Internet protocol (IP) traffic will grow three-fold between 2012 and 2017. Global IP traffic (fixed and mobile) is expected to reach an annual run rate of 1.4 zettabytes, which is more than a trillion gigabytes per year – by 2017. Indian IP traffic (Fixed and Mobile) is expected to reach an annual run rate of 33.5 exabytes in 2017 which is equivalent to 8 billion DVDs per year!
In 2012, in India, non-PC accounted for 10% of the IP traffic, but by 2017 the Non-PC share will grow to 53%. Portable devices, such as smartphones and tablets will contribute 40% to IP traffic in 2017 up from 3% in 2012; TVs will contribute 10%, while machine-to-machine (M2M) modules will contribute 3% of the entire IP traffic in 2017.
As global service providers build out the Next Generation Internet, nearly half of the world’s population will have network and Internet access by 2017.
The Forecast also reveals that the “Internet of Things” (the networked connection of physical objects) is showing tangible growth and will have a measurable impact on global IP networks. Applications such as video surveillance, smart meters, asset/package tracking, chipped pets/livestock, digital health monitors and a host of other next-generation M2M services are driving this growth.
Some of the Key Highlights of the Report :
- By 2017, there will be about 3.6 billion Internet users—more than 48% of the world’s projected population (7.6 billion).
- In India, there will be 348 million total Internet users in 2017, up from 138 million in 2012
- In 2012, there were 2.3 billion Internet users—about 32% of the world’s population (7.2 billion)
- By 2017, there will be more than 19 billion global network connections (fixed/mobile personal devices, M2M connections, et al.), up from about 12 billion connections in 2012.
- In India, there will be 2 billion networked devices by 2017 up from 1 billion in 2012
- Globally, the average fixed broadband speed will increase 3.5-fold from 2012 – 2017, from 11.3 Mbps to 39 Mbps.
- In India, the average broadband speed will grow 3.5-fold from 2012 to 2017, to reach 7 Mbps from 1.9 Mbps in 2012..
- Global network users will generate 3 trillion Internet video minutes per month, that is 6 million years of video per month, or 1.2 million video minutes every second or more than two years’ worth of video every second
- Globally, there will be nearly 2 billion Internet video users (excluding mobile-only) by 2017, up from 1 billion Internet video users in 2012
- In India, there will be 113 million Internet video users (excluding mobile-only) in 2017, up from 16 million in 2012
- Wi-Fi and mobile-connected devices will generate 68% of Internet traffic by 2017.
- Nearly half of total IP traffic will originate with non-PC devices (including tablets, smartphones, and televisions) by 2017.
- Fixed/Wi-Fi traffic will grow at a CAGR of 26% between 2012 and 2017, compared to a 16% CAGR for fixed/wired traffic
- In India, Fixed/Wi-Fi traffic will be 40% of total IP traffic in 2017, up from 38% in 2012
- Globally, there will be nearly 2 billion Internet video users (excluding mobile-only) by 2017, up from 1 billion Internet video users in 2012.
- By 2017, 3D and HD Internet video will comprise 63% of consumer Internet video traffic.
- Overall business IP traffic, which includes Internet, backup, VoIP, etc., will nearly triple between 2012 and 2017.
- Globally, the population was 7,160 million in 2012 and will reach 7,563 million by 2017 (1.1% CAGR).
- Globally, there were 1,996 million households in 2012; there will be 2,167 million households by 2017 (1.7% CAGR).
- Globally, there were 1,832 million residential Internet users with fixed Internet access in 2012; there will be 2,459 million residential Internet users with fixed Internet access by 2017 (6.1% CAGR).
- Globally, there were 1,598 million TV households in 2012; there will be 1,744 million TV households by 2017 (1.8% CAGR).
- Globally, there were 3,789 million mobile consumers in 2012; there will be 4,635 million mobile consumers by 2017 (4.1% CAGR).
The above facts and figures researched by Cisco will be very useful for policy makers, device makers and service providers to plan their strategies and products accordingly.
